The building blocks of macro intelligence. Monitor 10 key dimensions of the US economy.
Federal Reserve policy rates, Treasury yields, and the yield curve.
Price levels, breakevens, and year-over-year inflation.
Headline and broad labor underutilization.
Real GDP level and implied growth from quarterly prints.
Home prices and mortgage rates.
Corporate and high-yield option-adjusted spreads.
Gold spot is not reliably available via FRED; this view uses 10Y real yields (a gold-sensitive proxy).
S&P 500 levels and the VIX.
Broad dollar and goods trade balance.
University of Michigan consumer sentiment.
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