ZEMEN
Macro Intelligence
All Sectors

Materials

XLB · Companies mining metals, making chemicals, and producing raw materials

COLD Regime FitCurrent: Recession

In a Recession environment, Materials typically struggles because Lower growth can weaken volumes and margins.

YTD Return
-0.24%
vs S&P: -0.20%
1Y Return
+6.15%
3Y Return
+7.37%
Volatility
5.53%
Annualized

Price Performance

Sector ETF vs S&P 500 benchmark

Materials price performance

Sector (solid) vs S&P 500 (gray dashed)

Key Drivers

What makes Materials go up or down in the current environment.

Commodity prices

HELPS

Rising commodity prices increase revenues for producers and processors.

Weeks

Industrial demand

HELPS

Construction and manufacturing activity lifts need for raw materials.

Months

Dollar strength

HURTS

A stronger USD can reduce global commodity purchasing power and prices.

Months

Energy costs

HELPS

Lower energy costs can reduce input expenses for chemicals and production.

Weeks

Supply discipline

HELPS

Constrained supply can stabilize prices and improve realized margins.

Months

Regulatory & capex

HURTS

More restrictions can raise costs and delay production expansion.

Years

Notable Companies

Major companies operating in the materials space.

LIN
LIN
AP
APD
SHW
SHW
FCX
FCX
NU
NUE
NEM
NEM
DO
DOW
PP
PPG

Emerging Trends

Secular shifts worth watching in materials.

Industrial input re-stocking

When inventory cycles shift, materials often see demand and pricing accelerate quickly.

FCXNEMLIN
6-18 monthsMedium risk

Clean-tech materials demand

Electrification and grid buildouts require more metals and chemicals for components.

APDPPGDOW
3-7 yearsMedium risk

Capacity optimization

Producers that optimize capacity can capture better margins during pricing upswings.

NUESHWFCX
1-3 yearsLow risk
Zemen Sectors is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing on this page constitutes financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell securities. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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