ZEMEN
Macro Intelligence
All Sectors

Utilities

XLU · Electric, gas, and water companies that keep the lights on

HOT Regime FitCurrent: Recession

In a Recession environment, Utilities typically outperforms because Utilities often trade like bond proxies during risk-off periods.

YTD Return
+5.77%
vs S&P: -0.20%
1Y Return
+8.17%
3Y Return
+27.03%
Volatility
3.95%
Annualized

Price Performance

Sector ETF vs S&P 500 benchmark

Utilities price performance

Sector (solid) vs S&P 500 (gray dashed)

Key Drivers

What makes Utilities go up or down in the current environment.

Interest rates

HELPS

Lower yields increase the relative attractiveness of utility cash flows.

Weeks

Regulation & rate cases

HELPS

Favorable rate decisions can lift earnings stability.

Months

Inflation

HELPS

Some costs can be passed through, supporting revenue over time.

Months

Demand stability

HELPS

Utilities serve essential demand, helping reduce downside during slowdowns.

Years

Renewables integration

HELPS

Grid investments increase long-run capex opportunities and service revenues.

Years

Weather impacts

HURTS

Extreme weather can raise costs and create volatility in earnings.

Days

Notable Companies

Major companies operating in the utilities space.

NEE
NEE
DUK
DUK
SO
SO
D
D
AE
AEP
ED
ED
EX
EXC
SR
SRE

Emerging Trends

Secular shifts worth watching in utilities.

Rate-base growth

Utility investments increase regulated capital bases and support multi-year earnings.

NEEDUKSO
3-7 yearsLow risk

Grid modernization cycle

EVs, AI load, and renewables require major grid upgrades across the country.

AEPEDEXC
5-10 yearsLow risk

Resilience planning

Hardening infrastructure for climate resilience can keep service reliability stronger.

SREDDUK
2-5 yearsMedium risk
Zemen Sectors is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing on this page constitutes financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell securities. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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